MS-LS4-4 Construct an explanation based on evidence that describes how genetic variations of traits in a population increase some individuals’ probability of surviving and reproducing in a specific environment.
Clarification Statement: Emphasis is on using simple probability statements and proportional reasoning to construct explanations.
Assessment Boundary: none
This resource appears to be designed to build towards this performance expectation, though the resource developer has not explicitly stated so.
Comments about Including the Performance Expectation
By presenting data before and after an environmental change (i.e., drought), this Data Point does a good job of focusing students’ attention on the process of natural selection leading to adaptation of a population (i.e., change in beak depth in a finch population in response to a change in seed availability after the drought). The discussion questions reinforce this connection by asking students to explain why the population surviving the drought exhibited a larger mean beak size and to predict how this would be reflected in their offspring. The teacher can then help students link this shift to the population’s ability to survive in future years. The Educator Guide and the linked research article both provide important background information to support the teacher in making this link.
HS-LS4-3 Apply concepts of statistics and probability to support explanations that organisms with an advantageous heritable trait tend to increase in proportion to organisms lacking this trait.
Clarification Statement: Emphasis is on analyzing shifts in numerical distribution of traits and using these shifts as evidence to support explanations.
Assessment Boundary: Assessment is limited to basic statistical and graphical analysis. Assessment does not include allele frequency calculations.
This resource appears to be designed to build towards this performance expectation, though the resource developer has not explicitly stated so.
Comments about Including the Performance Expectation
The bar graph and supporting information provided in the Data Point highlight a key concept from a rich research article based on a long-term study of evolution in Galapagos finches. By overlaying data from two years, the bar graph helps students focus in on the effect that an environmental change can have on a population of organisms. In addition to representing the numerical distribution of beak sizes, the graph also represents the mean for this trait in each year. These features will facilitate students’ ability to identify patterns in the data. This resource provides an excellent opportunity to engage students in basic statistical reasoning as it relates to evolution within a population.
HS-LS4-2 Construct an explanation based on evidence that the process of evolution primarily results from four factors: (1) the potential for a species to increase in number, (2) the heritable genetic variation of individuals in a species due to mutation and sexual reproduction, (3) competition for limited resources, and (4) the proliferation of those organisms that are better able to survive and reproduce in the environment.
Clarification Statement: Emphasis is on using evidence to explain the influence each of the four factors has on number of organisms, behaviors, morphology, or physiology in terms of ability to compete for limited resources and subsequent survival of individuals and adaptation of species. Examples of evidence could include mathematical models such as simple distribution graphs and proportional reasoning.
Assessment Boundary: Assessment does not include other mechanisms of evolution, such as genetic drift, gene flow through migration, and co-evolution.
This resource appears to be designed to build towards this performance expectation, though the resource developer has not explicitly stated so.
Comments about Including the Performance Expectation
This Data Point could serve as an opening phenomenon to spark student learning leading up to this Performance Expectation or as an assessment of the Performance Expectation. The resource is framed as a discussion starter in which students are asked to analyze graphical data and develop an explanation of that data. The Educator Guide provides extensive background for teachers and a set of discussion questions to guide students toward developing an explanation of the role that natural selection has played in the short-term evolution of Galapagos ground finches. The authentic scenario and data presented in the resource provide strong links to the four factors listed in the Performance Expectation.